2026-05-28
MLB Bets
We use Statcast data — pitch speed, exit velocity, batting stats, and starting pitcher history — to calculate each team's real win probability. When our number is meaningfully higher than what the sportsbook implies, we flag it as a value bet.
Today's Bets
1 qualifyingHOU @ TEX
Recommended Bet
HOU
Away · +119
Why This Bet
Our model gives HOU a 55.5% chance to win. The sportsbook's odds only imply 43.6% — a +11.9% edge in your favor.
$22
Expected profit
per $100 wagered
4.5%
Suggested bet
of bankroll
+119
Odds
(American)
Elo diverges (-10pp); starter K-rate edge negative (-3.2pp); market disagrees sharply. Sized down from 4.5% recommended.
Disclaimer: EdgeShift is not a gambling advisory service. Sports betting carries real financial risk. Our model identifies statistical edges but cannot guarantee outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.